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Wigan weekend weather

This weekend in Wigan, England, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split - so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 17° across the weekend. Agreement is high - unusually solid for this far out. Rain chance reaches 100% on at least one model.

Today

2026-09-19 — every model, side by side
Met OfficeUKMO model
18°
Light rain
High 18°·Low 14°·Rain
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Drizzle
High 18°·Low 15°·Rain 94%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Light drizzle
High 18°·Low 14°·Rain 100%

All 3 models land within under a degree of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Tomorrow

2026-09-20 — every model, side by side
Met OfficeUKMO model
16°
Light drizzle
High 16°·Low 11°·Rain
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
High 16°·Low 11°·Rain 18%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Light drizzle
High 15°·Low 11°·Rain 10%

All 3 models land within 1° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree18° to 18°±6%94% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 16°±8%10% to 18% chance
Mon±2°18° to 20°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tue±2°19° to 21°±25%0% to 25% chance
Wed±1°16° to 17°±40%11% to 51% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
At least one model puts the weekend rain chance as high as 100%. Weekend forecasts sit far enough ahead that models frequently disagree on showers - when they do, no single app can honestly tell you it will or will not rain.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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