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Every US forecast, compared
CheckWeather US›Abilene

Abilene weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
97°
Clear
Feels 97° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 33%
AmericanNOAA GFS
95°
Clear
Feels 95° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 35%
EuropeanECMWF
96°
Mainly clear
Feels 96° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 32%

Latest for Abilene: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 97° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 95° Clear · European (ECMWF): 96° Mainly clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Abilene and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Abilene, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 102°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 36°F), with roughly 21 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Abilene right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Abilene climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
57°
36°
Feb
65°
42°
Mar
71°
49°
Apr
79°
56°
May
86°
66°
Jun
96°
74°
Jul
98°
77°
Aug
102°
80°
Sep
90°
70°
Oct
82°
61°
Nov
68°
49°
Dec
62°
43°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Abilene today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Abilene today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Abilene today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Abilene and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Abilene?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Abilene forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Abilene?
Aug is typically the warmest month in Abilene, with average highs around 102°F.
How cold does Abilene get?
The coldest month in Abilene is Jan, when overnight lows average about 36°F.
How much rain does Abilene get?
Abilene sees roughly 21 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

NWSNational Weather Service
Open model · shown above ✓AWAccuWeather
Closed model · open ↗↗TWCThe Weather Channel
Closed model · open ↗↗

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