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CheckWeather USNew York City
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

New York City (NYC) weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put New York City's high today between 79° and 83°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 73°, with a 1% chance of rain.

81°71°
73°61°
71°63°
70°60°
64°57°
63°55°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
79°
Light drizzle
Today 79°·Low 73°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 70°·Rain 4%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 71°·Rain 57%
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New York City weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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New York City weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

New York City swings 58°F across the year, from 87°F highs in July to 29°F lows in February, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 55 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
87°F average high
Coldest month
February
29°F average low
Wettest month
March
55 in a year
Below freezing
3 months
January, February and December
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
8.8 million
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around New York City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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New York City in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of New York City, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Where are you going?

New York City hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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New York City 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
81° 71°
±5°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
73° 61°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
71° 63°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
70° 60°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
64° 57°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
63° 55°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
62° 56°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
63° 55°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
68° 58°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
70° 59°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
70° 60°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
75° 60°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
78° 63°
models agree
Thu
Rain
69° 56°
±6°

New York City, New York (NY). Often shortened to NYC, New York, NY. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for New York City right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down New York City's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

New York City weather by month

what to expect in New York City through the year

Here is New York City's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to New York City by season.

Jan
44°
31°
Cool
Feb
46°
29°
Cool
Mar
52°
35°
Cool
Wettest
Apr
63°
44°
Mild
May
71°
53°
Mild
Jun
81°
62°
Warm
Jul
87°
69°
Hot
Aug
83°
66°
Warm
Sep
77°
60°
Warm
Oct
69°
50°
Mild
Nov
55°
39°
Cool
Dec
45°
31°
Cool

What New York City's weather is like through the year

New York City runs from warm summers, with July highs near 87°F, to cold winters, when February lows sit around 29°F (a swing of about 58°F across the year). March is usually the wettest month, and New York City sees roughly 55 inches of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 3 months (January, February and December), so New York City sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit New York City

The most comfortable time to visit New York City is usually April, May, September and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest March rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in New York City?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±0.9 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F93±2.3 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for New York City, scoring 93/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 72. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°79° to 83°±53%4% to 57% chance
Tomorrow±1°72° to 73°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±4°69° to 73°±10%82% to 92% chance
Mon±2°68° to 71°±1%74% to 75% chance
Tue±1°63° to 64°±19%8% to 27% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in New York City

today, local time
Sunrise
06:39
Sunset
18:59
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in New York City today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for New York City today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in New York City today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for New York City and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for New York City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for New York City (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in New York City?
July is typically the warmest month in New York City, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does New York City get?
The coldest month in New York City is February, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does New York City get?
New York City sees roughly 55 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit New York City?
The most comfortable time to visit New York City is usually April, May, September and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest March rain is behind you.
Does it snow in New York City?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 3 months (January, February and December) in New York City, so winter snowfall is common.

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