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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Financial District weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Financial District's high today between 78° and 83°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 72°, with a 1% chance of rain.

80°70°
72°60°
70°62°
69°59°
63°56°
62°54°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
67°
Partly cloudy
Feels 65° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 53%
AmericanNOAA GFS
69°
Overcast
Feels 66° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 47%
EuropeanECMWF
71°
Mainly clear
Feels 71° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 43%

Latest for Financial District: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 67° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 69° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 71° Mainly clear.

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Financial District weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Financial District…

Financial District weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Financial District swings 57°F across the year, from 85°F highs in July to 28°F lows in February, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 55 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
85°F average high
Coldest month
February
28°F average low
Wettest month
March
55 in a year
Below freezing
3 months
January, February and December
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
61,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Financial District and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Financial District hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Financial District 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
80° 70°
±5°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
72° 60°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
70° 62°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
69° 59°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
63° 56°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
62° 54°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
61° 55°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
62° 55°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
67° 57°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
69° 58°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
69° 59°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
74° 59°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
77° 62°
models agree
Thu
Rain
68° 55°
±6°

Financial District, New York (NY) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 28°F), with roughly 55 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Financial District right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Financial District climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
43°
29°
Feb
44°
28°
Mar
50°
33°
Apr
61°
43°
May
70°
51°
Jun
80°
61°
Jul
85°
68°
Aug
81°
64°
Sep
75°
58°
Oct
67°
48°
Nov
54°
37°
Dec
44°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Financial District?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±0.9 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F93±2.3 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°78° to 83°±53%4% to 57% chance
Tomorrow±1°71° to 72°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±4°68° to 72°±10%82% to 92% chance
Mon±2°67° to 70°±1%74% to 75% chance
Tue±1°62° to 63°±19%8% to 27% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Financial District

today, local time
Sunrise
06:39
Sunset
18:59
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Financial District today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Financial District today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Financial District today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Financial District and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Financial District?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Financial District (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Financial District?
July is typically the warmest month in Financial District, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Financial District get?
The coldest month in Financial District is February, when overnight lows average about 28°F.
How much rain does Financial District get?
Financial District sees roughly 55 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

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