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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Amarillo weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 91° in Amarillo today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 93°, with a 7% chance of rain.

91°71°
93°71°
88°66°
80°63°
77°62°
74°61°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±7°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±9°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
91°
Mostly clear
Today 91°·Low 72°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
91°
Partly cloudy
Today 91°·Low 71°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Partly cloudy
Today 90°·Low 70°·Rain 14%
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Amarillo weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Amarillo weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Amarillo swings 67°F across the year, from 95°F highs in August to 28°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 18 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
95°F average high
Coldest month
January
28°F average low
Wettest month
May
18 in a year
Below freezing
1 month
January
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
199,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Amarillo and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Amarillo hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Amarillo 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
91° 71°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
93° 71°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
88° 66°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
80° 63°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
77° 62°
±9°
Wed
Drizzle
74° 61°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
74° 63°
±6°
Fri
Drizzle
80° 63°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
82° 64°
±10°
Sun
Mostly clear
86° 65°
±9°
Mon
Mostly clear
81° 63°
±13°
Tue
Mostly clear
82° 59°
±9°
Wed
Cloudy
87° 64°
±13°
Thu
Clear
88° 68°
±4°

Amarillo, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 95°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 28°F), with roughly 18 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Amarillo right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Amarillo climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
49°
28°
Feb
58°
34°
Mar
63°
39°
Apr
72°
47°
May
80°
57°
Jun
89°
66°
Jul
93°
71°
Aug
95°
72°
Sep
87°
64°
Oct
77°
53°
Nov
62°
40°
Dec
55°
34°

Which forecast is most accurate in Amarillo?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F97±1.0 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F90±3.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°90° to 91°±13%1% to 14% chance
Tomorrow±2°92° to 93°±5%2% to 7% chance
Sun±7°85° to 92°±14%6% to 20% chance
Mon±2°79° to 81°±12%24% to 36% chance
Tue±9°74° to 83°±5%51% to 56% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Amarillo

today, local time
Sunrise
07:32
Sunset
19:49
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Amarillo today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Amarillo today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Amarillo today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Amarillo and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Amarillo?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Amarillo (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Amarillo?
August is typically the warmest month in Amarillo, with average highs around 95°F.
How cold does Amarillo get?
The coldest month in Amarillo is January, when overnight lows average about 28°F.
How much rain does Amarillo get?
Amarillo sees roughly 18 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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