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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Anchorage weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 51° in Anchorage today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 54°, with a 81% chance of rain.

51°48°
54°47°
52°45°
51°45°
52°41°
50°39°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
AmericanNOAA GFS
51°
Drizzle
Today 51°·Low 48°·Rain 99%
EuropeanECMWF
52°
Drizzle
Today 52°·Low 48°·Rain 100%
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Anchorage weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Anchorage weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Anchorage swings 52°F across the year, from 64°F highs in July to 12°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 36 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
64°F average high
Coldest month
January
12°F average low
Wettest month
August
36 in a year
Below freezing
7 months
January, February, March, April, October, November and December
Comfortable
2 months
June and July
Residents
290,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Anchorage and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Anchorage hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Anchorage 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
51° 48°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
54° 47°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
52° 45°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
51° 45°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
52° 41°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
50° 39°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
50° 41°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
52° 45°
±5°
Sat
Drizzle
54° 44°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
54° 43°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
51° 41°
±7°
Tue
Light drizzle
49° 40°
±7°
Wed
Light drizzle
50° 40°
models agree
Thu
Fog
47° 43°
models agree

Anchorage, Alaska (AK) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 64°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 12°F), with roughly 36 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Anchorage right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Anchorage climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
22°
12°
Feb
25°
14°
Mar
33°
19°
Apr
41°
25°
May
54°
39°
Jun
63°
49°
Jul
64°
52°
Aug
63°
51°
Sep
54°
43°
Oct
40°
31°
Nov
28°
19°
Dec
23°
15°

Which forecast is most accurate in Anchorage?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
80
/100rank #1
83±1.7°F97±0.8 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
64±3.6°F93±2.2 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°51° to 52°±1%99% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±3°53° to 55°models agree81% to 81% chance
Sun±1°52° to 52°±16%35% to 51% chance
Mon±1°50° to 51°±2%77% to 79% chance
Tue±3°50° to 53°±9%20% to 29% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Anchorage

today, local time
Sunrise
07:34
Sunset
20:11
Daylight
12h 37m

Common questions

What's the weather in Anchorage today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Anchorage today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Anchorage today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Anchorage and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Anchorage?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Anchorage (CheckWeather Score 80/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Anchorage?
July is typically the warmest month in Anchorage, with average highs around 64°F.
How cold does Anchorage get?
The coldest month in Anchorage is January, when overnight lows average about 12°F.
How much rain does Anchorage get?
Anchorage sees roughly 36 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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