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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Apopka weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Apopka's high today between 83° and 89°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks showers around 85°, with a 98% chance of rain.

86°74°
85°72°
86°72°
88°73°
88°73°
88°74°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Drizzle
Today 87°·Low 74°·Rain 16%
AmericanNOAA GFS
89°
Drizzle
Today 89°·Low 75°·Rain 16%
EuropeanECMWF
83°
Heavy drizzle
Today 83°·Low 73°·Rain 93%
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Apopka weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Apopka weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Apopka swings 39°F across the year, from 91°F highs in July to 52°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 60 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
91°F average high
Coldest month
January
52°F average low
Wettest month
September
60 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, November and December
Residents
48,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Apopka and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Apopka hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Apopka 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
86° 74°
±5°
Tomorrow
Showers
85° 72°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
86° 72°
models agree
Mon
Showers
88° 73°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
88° 73°
±5°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
88° 74°
±6°
Thu
Drizzle
88° 74°
±6°
Fri
Drizzle
88° 74°
±7°
Sat
Drizzle
84° 73°
±11°
Sun
Light drizzle
86° 71°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
86° 71°
±7°
Tue
Thunderstorm
86° 71°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
84° 72°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
80° 72°
±6°

Apopka, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 52°F), with roughly 60 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Apopka right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Apopka climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
70°
52°
Feb
75°
55°
Mar
80°
60°
Apr
83°
63°
May
88°
69°
Jun
89°
73°
Jul
91°
76°
Aug
91°
76°
Sep
87°
73°
Oct
82°
67°
Nov
77°
61°
Dec
71°
55°

Which forecast is most accurate in Apopka?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F96±1.2 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
50
/100rank #2
65±3.5°F89±3.3 mph548% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°83° to 89°±77%16% to 93% chance
Tomorrow±4°83° to 87°±66%32% to 98% chance
Sun±2°85° to 87°±30%62% to 92% chance
Mon±5°86° to 91°±24%75% to 99% chance
Tue±5°86° to 91°±20%76% to 96% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Apopka

today, local time
Sunrise
07:12
Sunset
19:27
Daylight
12h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Apopka today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Apopka today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Apopka today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Apopka and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Apopka?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Apopka (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 50. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Apopka?
July is typically the warmest month in Apopka, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Apopka get?
The coldest month in Apopka is January, when overnight lows average about 52°F.
How much rain does Apopka get?
Apopka sees roughly 60 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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