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CheckWeather USAsheville
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Asheville weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 87° in Asheville today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 87°, with a 93% chance of rain.

87°65°
87°67°
84°66°
85°64°
76°65°
70°61°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
88°
Heavy drizzle
Today 88°·Low 67°·Rain 14%
AmericanNOAA GFS
89°
Cloudy
Today 89°·Low 65°·Rain 14%
EuropeanECMWF
85°
Light drizzle
Today 85°·Low 65°·Rain 61%
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Asheville weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Asheville weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Asheville swings 55°F across the year, from 85°F highs in July to 30°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 38 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
85°F average high
Coldest month
January
30°F average low
Wettest month
September
38 in a year
Below freezing
1 month
January
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and October
Residents
95,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Asheville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Asheville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Asheville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
87° 65°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
87° 67°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
84° 66°
models agree
Mon
Showers
85° 64°
±6°
Tue
Showers
76° 65°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
70° 61°
±8°
Thu
Light drizzle
71° 58°
±11°
Fri
Light drizzle
73° 57°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
70° 55°
±9°
Sun
Mostly clear
70° 55°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
74° 53°
models agree
Tue
Rain
73° 55°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
72° 56°
±7°
Thu
Clear
76° 50°
±12°

Asheville, North Carolina (NC) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 30°F), with roughly 38 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Asheville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Asheville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
48°
30°
Feb
57°
34°
Mar
60°
37°
Apr
67°
43°
May
73°
52°
Jun
80°
57°
Jul
85°
63°
Aug
84°
61°
Sep
78°
57°
Oct
69°
45°
Nov
59°
39°
Dec
51°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in Asheville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
79
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F94±1.9 mph5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F95±1.7 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°85° to 89°±47%14% to 61% chance
Tomorrow±4°85° to 89°±71%22% to 93% chance
Sun±1°84° to 85°±39%55% to 94% chance
Mon±6°83° to 89°±23%77% to 100% chance
Tue±6°73° to 79°±12%70% to 82% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Asheville

today, local time
Sunrise
07:15
Sunset
19:32
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Asheville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Asheville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Asheville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Asheville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Asheville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Asheville (CheckWeather Score 79/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Asheville?
July is typically the warmest month in Asheville, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Asheville get?
The coldest month in Asheville is January, when overnight lows average about 30°F.
How much rain does Asheville get?
Asheville sees roughly 38 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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