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Atwater weather

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Atwater weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Atwater weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Atwater swings 66°F across the year, from 105°F highs in July to 39°F lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 23 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
105°F average high
Coldest month
February
39°F average low
Wettest month
January
23 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, November and December
Residents
29,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Atwater and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Atwater hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Atwater 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Atwater, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 105°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 39°F), with roughly 23 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Atwater right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Atwater climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
56°
41°
Feb
58°
39°
Mar
61°
43°
Apr
71°
47°
May
81°
54°
Jun
92°
62°
Jul
105°
70°
Aug
99°
68°
Sep
91°
62°
Oct
83°
56°
Nov
66°
44°
Dec
60°
42°

Which forecast is most accurate in Atwater?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±1.0 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
91
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F96±1.2 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Atwater today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Atwater today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Atwater today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Atwater and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Atwater?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Atwater (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Atwater?
July is typically the warmest month in Atwater, with average highs around 105°F.
How cold does Atwater get?
The coldest month in Atwater is February, when overnight lows average about 39°F.
How much rain does Atwater get?
Atwater sees roughly 23 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

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