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Every US forecast, compared
CheckWeather US›Aurora

Aurora weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
74°
Clear
Feels 78° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 51%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Clear
Feels 76° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 35%
EuropeanECMWF
73°
Partly cloudy
Feels 77° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 44%

Latest for Aurora: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 74° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 74° Clear · European (ECMWF): 73° Partly cloudy.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Aurora and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Aurora, IL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 21°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Aurora right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Aurora climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
33°
21°
Feb
44°
26°
Mar
49°
31°
Apr
60°
40°
May
73°
51°
Jun
82°
61°
Jul
83°
64°
Aug
82°
63°
Sep
77°
59°
Oct
65°
47°
Nov
50°
36°
Dec
40°
28°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Aurora today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Aurora today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Aurora today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Aurora and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Aurora?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Aurora forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Aurora?
Jul is typically the warmest month in Aurora, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Aurora get?
The coldest month in Aurora is Jan, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does Aurora get?
Aurora sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with Jul usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

NWSNational Weather Service
Open model · shown above ✓AWAccuWeather
Closed model · open ↗↗TWCThe Weather Channel
Closed model · open ↗↗

Nearby

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More US weather

Most accurate forecastUS rain radarAll US citiesHoliday weather abroadThe European model vs the American model: ECMWF vs GFSThe national forecast models, explained: NBM, UKMO, GEM and ACCESS