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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Baltimore weather

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Partly cloudy,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 84° in Baltimore today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 78°, with a 8% chance of rain.

84°72°
78°63°
82°69°
72°63°
65°61°
64°57°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Partly cloudy
Today 83°·Low 71°·Rain 7%
AmericanNOAA GFS
84°
Partly cloudy
Today 84°·Low 72°·Rain 7%
EuropeanECMWF
83°
Drizzle
Today 83°·Low 73°·Rain 92%
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Baltimore weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Baltimore weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Baltimore swings 56°F across the year, from 88°F highs in July to 32°F lows in January, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 50 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
88°F average high
Coldest month
January
32°F average low
Wettest month
April
50 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
3 months
May, September and October
Residents
586,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Baltimore and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Baltimore in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Baltimore, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Baltimore hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Baltimore 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
84° 72°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
78° 63°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
82° 69°
±6°
Mon
Drizzle
72° 63°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
65° 61°
±6°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
64° 57°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
65° 58°
±7°
Fri
Drizzle
71° 57°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
72° 56°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
74° 57°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
75° 60°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
76° 61°
models agree
Wed
Rain
76° 64°
models agree
Thu
Clear
72° 57°
±5°

Baltimore, Maryland (MD) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 32°F), with roughly 50 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Baltimore right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Baltimore climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
46°
32°
Feb
51°
33°
Mar
56°
37°
Apr
67°
47°
May
73°
54°
Jun
84°
63°
Jul
88°
70°
Aug
85°
67°
Sep
78°
62°
Oct
69°
51°
Nov
57°
41°
Dec
47°
34°

Which forecast is most accurate in Baltimore?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
82
/100rank #1
84±1.6°F96±1.3 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
64
/100rank #2
76±2.4°F95±1.5 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°83° to 84°±85%7% to 92% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree77° to 78°±6%2% to 8% chance
Sun±6°80° to 86°±12%57% to 69% chance
Mon±4°71° to 74°±9%57% to 66% chance
Tue±6°62° to 68°±12%33% to 45% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Baltimore

today, local time
Sunrise
06:50
Sunset
19:09
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Baltimore today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Baltimore today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Baltimore today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Baltimore and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Baltimore?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Baltimore (CheckWeather Score 82/100), ahead of the American at 64. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Baltimore?
July is typically the warmest month in Baltimore, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Baltimore get?
The coldest month in Baltimore is January, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does Baltimore get?
Baltimore sees roughly 50 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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