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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Barnstable weather

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Heavy drizzle,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 74° in Barnstable today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 63°, with a 2% chance of rain.

74°63°
63°52°
64°51°
65°58°
62°56°
63°56°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
73°
Heavy drizzle
Today 73°·Low 61°·Rain 38%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Cloudy
Today 74°·Low 63°·Rain 38%
EuropeanECMWF
74°
Light drizzle
Today 74°·Low 65°·Rain 84%
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Barnstable weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Barnstable weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Barnstable swings 52°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 29°F lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 48 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
81°F average high
Coldest month
February
29°F average low
Wettest month
January
48 in a year
Below freezing
1 month
February
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
48,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Barnstable and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Barnstable hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Barnstable 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
74° 63°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
63° 52°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
64° 51°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
65° 58°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
62° 56°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
63° 56°
models agree
Thu
Rain
63° 57°
models agree
Fri
Rain
61° 55°
±5°
Sat
Drizzle
62° 55°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
63° 56°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
67° 56°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
68° 58°
±8°
Wed
Rain
73° 61°
models agree
Thu
Showers
68° 57°
models agree

Barnstable, Massachusetts (MA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 29°F), with roughly 48 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Barnstable right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Barnstable climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
42°
32°
Feb
42°
29°
Mar
47°
36°
Apr
55°
42°
May
63°
50°
Jun
73°
60°
Jul
81°
69°
Aug
77°
65°
Sep
72°
61°
Oct
64°
52°
Nov
52°
41°
Dec
45°
35°

Which forecast is most accurate in Barnstable?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
76
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F95±1.5 mph4771% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F95±1.5 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°73° to 74°±46%38% to 84% chance
Tomorrow±4°61° to 65°±2%0% to 2% chance
Sun±3°62° to 65°±21%77% to 98% chance
Mon±4°63° to 67°±10%77% to 87% chance
Tue±2°61° to 63°±3%4% to 7% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Barnstable

today, local time
Sunrise
06:24
Sunset
18:45
Daylight
12h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Barnstable today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Barnstable today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Barnstable today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Barnstable and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Barnstable?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Barnstable (CheckWeather Score 76/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Barnstable?
July is typically the warmest month in Barnstable, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Barnstable get?
The coldest month in Barnstable is February, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does Barnstable get?
Barnstable sees roughly 48 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

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