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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Baton Rouge weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 91° in Baton Rouge today. Tomorrow looks clear around 94°, with a 2% chance of rain.

91°70°
94°72°
95°74°
95°75°
94°75°
93°76°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
92°
Clear
Today 92°·Low 71°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
91°
Mostly clear
Today 91°·Low 70°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Clear
Today 90°·Low 70°·Rain 0%
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Baton Rouge weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Baton Rouge weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Baton Rouge swings 52°F across the year, from 97°F highs in August to 45°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 52 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
97°F average high
Coldest month
January
45°F average low
Wettest month
January
52 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and November
Residents
227,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Baton Rouge and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Baton Rouge hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Baton Rouge 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
91° 70°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
94° 72°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
95° 74°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
95° 75°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
94° 75°
models agree
Wed
Clear
93° 76°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
92° 74°
±10°
Fri
Mostly clear
92° 72°
±9°
Sat
Cloudy
92° 73°
±10°
Sun
Cloudy
90° 71°
±7°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
90° 69°
±7°
Tue
Light rain
85° 71°
±12°
Wed
Mostly clear
86° 68°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
87° 65°
±6°

Baton Rouge, Louisiana (LA) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 97°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 45°F), with roughly 52 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Baton Rouge right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Baton Rouge climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
63°
45°
Feb
68°
51°
Mar
73°
56°
Apr
78°
61°
May
86°
69°
Jun
91°
74°
Jul
93°
77°
Aug
97°
79°
Sep
89°
73°
Oct
82°
63°
Nov
72°
57°
Dec
65°
48°

Which forecast is most accurate in Baton Rouge?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F96±1.1 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
65
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F90±3.0 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°90° to 92°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°92° to 94°models agree2% to 2% chance
Sun±5°93° to 97°±3%4% to 7% chance
Mon±4°94° to 97°±4%21% to 25% chance
Tue±4°92° to 95°±46%13% to 59% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Baton Rouge

today, local time
Sunrise
06:50
Sunset
19:06
Daylight
12h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Baton Rouge today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Baton Rouge today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Baton Rouge today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Baton Rouge and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Baton Rouge?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Baton Rouge (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 65. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Baton Rouge?
August is typically the warmest month in Baton Rouge, with average highs around 97°F.
How cold does Baton Rouge get?
The coldest month in Baton Rouge is January, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does Baton Rouge get?
Baton Rouge sees roughly 52 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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