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CheckWeather USBay Shore

Bay Shore weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Clear
Feels 81° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 46%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Clear
Feels 83° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 39%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Clear
Feels 81° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 32%

Latest for Bay Shore: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 77° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 78° Clear · European (ECMWF): 78° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bay Shore and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Bay Shore is a small town of about 26,000 people in NY, sitting at 40.7°N in a temperate climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Bay Shore with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Islip, North Bay Shore, Bay Wood.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Bay Shore today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bay Shore today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bay Shore today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bay Shore and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bay Shore?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Bay Shore forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

Nearby

More US weather