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CheckWeather USBay Shore

Bay Shore weather

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Bay Shore weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bay Shore and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bay Shore hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bay Shore 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Bay Shore is a small town of about 26,000 people in New York (NY), sitting at 40.7°N in a temperate climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Bay Shore with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Islip, North Bay Shore, Bay Wood.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Bay Shore?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F98±0.7 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
69
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F91±2.9 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Bay Shore today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bay Shore today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bay Shore today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bay Shore and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bay Shore?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bay Shore (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 69. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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