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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Bethlehem weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Bethlehem today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 73°, with a 4% chance of rain.

81°65°
73°57°
69°60°
67°58°
61°52°
62°50°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±7°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
73°
Partly cloudy
Feels 73° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 51%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Mainly clear
Feels 74° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 43%
EuropeanECMWF
73°
Mainly clear
Feels 73° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 44%

Latest for Bethlehem: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 73° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 74° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): 73° Mainly clear.

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Bethlehem weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Bethlehem weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Bethlehem swings 60°F across the year, from 87°F highs in July to 27°F lows in February, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 44 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
87°F average high
Coldest month
February
27°F average low
Wettest month
December
44 in a year
Below freezing
3 months
January, February and December
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
75,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bethlehem and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bethlehem hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bethlehem 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
81° 65°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
73° 57°
models agree
Sun
Rain
69° 60°
±7°
Mon
Cloudy
67° 58°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
61° 52°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
62° 50°
±6°
Thu
Drizzle
61° 51°
±8°
Fri
Drizzle
68° 51°
±7°
Sat
Cloudy
69° 51°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
70° 53°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
72° 53°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
74° 52°
models agree
Wed
Rain
68° 57°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
66° 51°
±5°

Bethlehem, Pennsylvania (PA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 27°F), with roughly 44 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bethlehem right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bethlehem climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
43°
29°
Feb
47°
27°
Mar
52°
33°
Apr
64°
43°
May
73°
50°
Jun
82°
60°
Jul
87°
67°
Aug
82°
63°
Sep
76°
58°
Oct
67°
47°
Nov
54°
37°
Dec
44°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bethlehem?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F96±1.1 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F95±1.6 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°80° to 82°±39%2% to 41% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree73° to 73°±4%0% to 4% chance
Sun±7°66° to 73°±9%87% to 96% chance
Mon±5°65° to 69°±16%48% to 64% chance
Tue±6°58° to 64°±16%18% to 34% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bethlehem

today, local time
Sunrise
06:45
Sunset
19:05
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bethlehem today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bethlehem today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bethlehem today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bethlehem and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bethlehem?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bethlehem (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bethlehem?
July is typically the warmest month in Bethlehem, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Bethlehem get?
The coldest month in Bethlehem is February, when overnight lows average about 27°F.
How much rain does Bethlehem get?
Bethlehem sees roughly 44 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

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