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CheckWeather US›Birch Bay

Birch Bay weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
62°
Overcast
Feels 60° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 83%
AmericanNOAA GFS
60°
Overcast
Feels 59° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 80%
EuropeanECMWF
62°
Light drizzle
Feels 60° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 84%

Latest for Birch Bay: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 62° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 60° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 62° Light drizzle.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Birch Bay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Birch Bay, WA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 74°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 35°F), with roughly 52 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Birch Bay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Birch Bay climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
44°
35°
Feb
45°
35°
Mar
50°
36°
Apr
53°
40°
May
63°
48°
Jun
66°
51°
Jul
74°
55°
Aug
74°
56°
Sep
66°
52°
Oct
57°
45°
Nov
48°
39°
Dec
47°
38°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Birch Bay today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Birch Bay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Birch Bay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Birch Bay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Birch Bay?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Birch Bay forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Birch Bay?
July is typically the warmest month in Birch Bay, with average highs around 74°F.
How cold does Birch Bay get?
The coldest month in Birch Bay is January, when overnight lows average about 35°F.
How much rain does Birch Bay get?
Birch Bay sees roughly 52 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

NWSNational Weather Service
Open model · shown above ✓AWAccuWeather
Closed model · open ↗↗TWCThe Weather Channel
Closed model · open ↗↗

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