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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Blacksburg weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Blacksburg's high today between 83° and 89°, a 6° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 80°, with a 49% chance of rain.

85°67°
80°65°
84°65°
81°63°
69°60°
60°56°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowsplit ±6°Sundaysplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±9°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
84°
Rain
Today 84°·Low 68°·Rain 18%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 67°·Rain 18%
EuropeanECMWF
89°
Showers
Today 89°·Low 68°·Rain 65%
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Blacksburg weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Blacksburg weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Blacksburg swings 57°F across the year, from 86°F highs in July to 29°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 35 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
86°F average high
Coldest month
January
29°F average low
Wettest month
January
35 in a year
Below freezing
2 months
January and December
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
44,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Blacksburg and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Blacksburg hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Blacksburg 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
85° 67°
±6°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
80° 65°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
84° 65°
±5°
Mon
Light rain
81° 63°
±9°
Tue
Drizzle
69° 60°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
60° 56°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
66° 55°
±12°
Fri
Partly cloudy
67° 54°
±6°
Sat
Partly cloudy
68° 53°
±10°
Sun
Mostly clear
71° 50°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
71° 50°
±4°
Tue
Drizzle
72° 52°
models agree
Wed
Rain
72° 53°
±7°
Thu
Partly cloudy
71° 46°
±17°

Blacksburg, Virginia (VA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 29°F), with roughly 35 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Blacksburg right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Blacksburg climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
46°
29°
Feb
54°
33°
Mar
57°
36°
Apr
68°
44°
May
73°
52°
Jun
81°
58°
Jul
86°
64°
Aug
84°
62°
Sep
77°
57°
Oct
69°
46°
Nov
57°
37°
Dec
48°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Blacksburg?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F96±1.2 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F94±1.9 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°83° to 89°±47%18% to 65% chance
Tomorrow±6°77° to 83°±39%10% to 49% chance
Sun±5°81° to 86°±44%52% to 96% chance
Mon±9°77° to 86°±6%84% to 90% chance
Tue±5°67° to 72°±9%58% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Blacksburg

today, local time
Sunrise
07:06
Sunset
19:24
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Blacksburg today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Blacksburg today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Blacksburg today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Blacksburg and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Blacksburg?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Blacksburg (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 73. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Blacksburg?
July is typically the warmest month in Blacksburg, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Blacksburg get?
The coldest month in Blacksburg is January, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does Blacksburg get?
Blacksburg sees roughly 35 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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