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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Bonita Springs weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 88° in Bonita Springs today. Tomorrow looks showers around 85°, with a 98% chance of rain.

88°74°
85°73°
86°73°
86°74°
86°77°
87°76°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±7°Mondaysplit ±8°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
88°
Showers
Today 88°·Low 74°·Rain 51%
AmericanNOAA GFS
89°
Cloudy
Today 89°·Low 74°·Rain 51%
EuropeanECMWF
87°
Thunderstorm
Today 87°·Low 74°·Rain 98%
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Bonita Springs weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Bonita Springs weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Bonita Springs swings 32°F across the year, from 90°F highs in July to 58°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 59 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
90°F average high
Coldest month
January
58°F average low
Wettest month
June
59 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
3 months
January, February and December
Residents
52,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bonita Springs and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bonita Springs hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bonita Springs 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
88° 74°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
85° 73°
models agree
Sun
Thunderstorm
86° 73°
±7°
Mon
Drizzle
86° 74°
±8°
Tue
Drizzle
86° 77°
±7°
Wed
Showers
87° 76°
±8°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
88° 76°
±5°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
89° 75°
±6°
Sat
Showers
88° 74°
±6°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
88° 74°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
85° 73°
models agree
Tue
Thunderstorm
86° 76°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
85° 73°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
84° 73°
±7°

Bonita Springs, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 58°F), with roughly 59 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bonita Springs right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bonita Springs climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
74°
58°
Feb
77°
59°
Mar
81°
64°
Apr
83°
66°
May
88°
71°
Jun
87°
74°
Jul
90°
76°
Aug
89°
76°
Sep
88°
75°
Oct
85°
70°
Nov
82°
65°
Dec
75°
60°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bonita Springs?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F96±1.2 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
66
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F91±2.7 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°87° to 89°±47%51% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±3°83° to 86°±62%36% to 98% chance
Sun±7°83° to 90°±18%75% to 93% chance
Mon±8°82° to 90°±31%65% to 96% chance
Tue±7°82° to 89°±28%64% to 92% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bonita Springs

today, local time
Sunrise
07:14
Sunset
19:27
Daylight
12h 13m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bonita Springs today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bonita Springs today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bonita Springs today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bonita Springs and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bonita Springs?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bonita Springs (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 66. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bonita Springs?
July is typically the warmest month in Bonita Springs, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Bonita Springs get?
The coldest month in Bonita Springs is January, when overnight lows average about 58°F.
How much rain does Bonita Springs get?
Bonita Springs sees roughly 59 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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