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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Bowling Green weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 96° in Bowling Green today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 95°, with a 43% chance of rain.

96°73°
95°73°
96°74°
92°71°
81°68°
80°64°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±6°Sundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
97°
Clear
Feels 103° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 38%
AmericanNOAA GFS
97°
Clear
Feels 103° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 36%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Thunderstorm
Feels 99° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 57%

Latest for Bowling Green: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 97° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 97° Clear · European (ECMWF): 90° Thunderstorm.

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Bowling Green weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Bowling Green…

Bowling Green weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Bowling Green swings 58°F across the year, from 89°F highs in July to 31°F lows in January, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 50 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
89°F average high
Coldest month
January
31°F average low
Wettest month
November
50 in a year
Below freezing
1 month
January
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and October
Residents
64,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bowling Green and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bowling Green hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bowling Green 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
96° 73°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
95° 73°
±6°
Sun
Partly cloudy
96° 74°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
92° 71°
±5°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
81° 68°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
80° 64°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
77° 60°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
77° 60°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
77° 59°
±8°
Sun
Mostly clear
80° 57°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
82° 59°
±8°
Tue
Rain
74° 57°
±14°
Wed
Cloudy
72° 51°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
75° 50°
±6°

Bowling Green, Kentucky (KY) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 31°F), with roughly 50 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bowling Green right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bowling Green climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
47°
31°
Feb
58°
37°
Mar
61°
40°
Apr
70°
49°
May
78°
58°
Jun
86°
64°
Jul
89°
69°
Aug
87°
67°
Sep
83°
62°
Oct
72°
52°
Nov
61°
43°
Dec
51°
36°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bowling Green?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F96±1.2 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
63
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F94±1.9 mph1855% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°94° to 97°±52%3% to 55% chance
Tomorrow±6°92° to 98°±31%12% to 43% chance
Sun±2°95° to 97°±17%7% to 24% chance
Mon±5°89° to 94°±30%35% to 65% chance
Tue±4°79° to 83°±13%35% to 48% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bowling Green

today, local time
Sunrise
06:30
Sunset
18:48
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bowling Green today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bowling Green today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bowling Green today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bowling Green and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bowling Green?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bowling Green (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 63. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bowling Green?
July is typically the warmest month in Bowling Green, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Bowling Green get?
The coldest month in Bowling Green is January, when overnight lows average about 31°F.
How much rain does Bowling Green get?
Bowling Green sees roughly 50 in of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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