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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Caldwell weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 76° in Caldwell today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 79°, with a 22% chance of rain.

76°57°
79°56°
83°54°
85°57°
86°57°
89°57°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
75°
Drizzle
Today 75°·Low 53°·Rain 17%
AmericanNOAA GFS
76°
Cloudy
Today 76°·Low 58°·Rain 17%
EuropeanECMWF
79°
Cloudy
Today 79°·Low 59°·Rain 11%
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Caldwell weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Caldwell weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Caldwell swings 73°F across the year, from 98°F highs in July to 25°F lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 15 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
98°F average high
Coldest month
January
25°F average low
Wettest month
December
15 in a year
Below freezing
3 months
January, February and December
Comfortable
3 months
April, May and October
Residents
52,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Caldwell and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Caldwell hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Caldwell 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
76° 57°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
79° 56°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
83° 54°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
85° 57°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
86° 57°
±5°
Wed
Mostly clear
89° 57°
±10°
Thu
Cloudy
91° 60°
±7°
Fri
Mostly clear
88° 64°
±9°
Sat
Mostly clear
82° 59°
±13°
Sun
Mostly clear
77° 55°
±14°
Mon
Mostly clear
77° 52°
±21°
Tue
Cloudy
84° 55°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
80° 54°
±5°
Thu
Clear
67° 52°
models agree

Caldwell, Idaho (ID) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 98°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 25°F), with roughly 15 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Caldwell right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Caldwell climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
39°
25°
Feb
47°
28°
Mar
51°
32°
Apr
62°
39°
May
74°
50°
Jun
84°
59°
Jul
98°
69°
Aug
92°
65°
Sep
82°
57°
Oct
67°
45°
Nov
49°
34°
Dec
41°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Caldwell?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F95±1.6 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±1.7 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°75° to 79°±6%11% to 17% chance
Tomorrow±1°78° to 79°±10%12% to 22% chance
Sun±4°81° to 85°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±5°83° to 88°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°84° to 89°±1%0% to 1% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Caldwell

today, local time
Sunrise
07:29
Sunset
19:51
Daylight
12h 22m

Common questions

What's the weather in Caldwell today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Caldwell today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Caldwell today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Caldwell and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Caldwell?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Caldwell (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Caldwell?
July is typically the warmest month in Caldwell, with average highs around 98°F.
How cold does Caldwell get?
The coldest month in Caldwell is January, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Caldwell get?
Caldwell sees roughly 15 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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