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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Canton weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 74° in Canton today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 66°, with a 98% chance of rain.

74°56°
66°58°
67°59°
64°54°
63°52°
60°54°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±6°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
73°
Cloudy
Today 73°·Low 56°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Cloudy
Today 75°·Low 55°·Rain 4%
EuropeanECMWF
73°
Light drizzle
Today 73°·Low 57°·Rain 13%
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Canton weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Canton weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Canton swings 58°F across the year, from 82°F highs in July to 24°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 36 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
82°F average high
Coldest month
January
24°F average low
Wettest month
August
36 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
87,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Canton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Canton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Canton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
74° 56°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
66° 58°
models agree
Sun
Rain
67° 59°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
64° 54°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
63° 52°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
60° 54°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
62° 55°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
68° 55°
±11°
Sat
Mostly clear
70° 53°
±7°
Sun
Clear
71° 53°
±7°
Mon
Cloudy
72° 54°
±10°
Tue
Light rain
66° 53°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
60° 49°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
65° 47°
±4°

Canton, Michigan (MI) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 24°F), with roughly 36 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Canton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Canton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
35°
24°
Feb
43°
25°
Mar
47°
30°
Apr
60°
40°
May
71°
49°
Jun
80°
59°
Jul
82°
63°
Aug
80°
62°
Sep
75°
58°
Oct
63°
46°
Nov
50°
36°
Dec
41°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Canton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F95±1.5 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
60
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F95±1.7 mph548% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°73° to 75°±9%4% to 13% chance
Tomorrow±2°65° to 67°±41%57% to 98% chance
Sun±6°65° to 71°±8%84% to 92% chance
Mon±7°61° to 69°±2%10% to 12% chance
Tue±5°61° to 66°±10%14% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Canton

today, local time
Sunrise
07:17
Sunset
19:38
Daylight
12h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Canton today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Canton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Canton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Canton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Canton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Canton (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 60. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Canton?
July is typically the warmest month in Canton, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Canton get?
The coldest month in Canton is January, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Canton get?
Canton sees roughly 36 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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