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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Carson City weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 72° in Carson City today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 77°, with a 0% chance of rain.

72°45°
77°50°
79°54°
80°56°
82°56°
85°56°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
71°
Clear
Feels 68° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 26%
AmericanNOAA GFS
71°
Clear
Feels 69° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 26%
EuropeanECMWF
70°
Clear
Feels 67° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 25%

Latest for Carson City: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 71° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 71° Clear · European (ECMWF): 70° Clear.

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Carson City weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Carson City weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Carson City swings 68°F across the year, from 93°F highs in July to 25°F lows in January, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 18 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
93°F average high
Coldest month
January
25°F average low
Wettest month
March
18 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
3 months
May, September and October
Residents
59,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Carson City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Carson City hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Carson City 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
72° 45°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
77° 50°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
79° 54°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
80° 56°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
82° 56°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
85° 56°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
84° 58°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
81° 58°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
78° 55°
±9°
Sun
Mostly clear
77° 52°
±12°
Mon
Mostly clear
77° 53°
±13°
Tue
Mostly clear
81° 54°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
75° 49°
±11°
Thu
Clear
71° 47°
±14°

Carson City, Nevada (NV) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 93°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 25°F), with roughly 18 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Carson City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Carson City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
39°
25°
Feb
39°
25°
Mar
43°
28°
Apr
59°
36°
May
70°
45°
Jun
80°
54°
Jul
93°
63°
Aug
86°
59°
Sep
78°
53°
Oct
68°
44°
Nov
51°
33°
Dec
47°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Carson City?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
80±2.0°F95±1.4 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F75±7.8 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°71° to 73°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°76° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±2°78° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°80° to 81°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±1°81° to 82°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Carson City

today, local time
Sunrise
06:43
Sunset
19:02
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Carson City today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Carson City today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Carson City today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Carson City and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Carson City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Carson City (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Carson City?
July is typically the warmest month in Carson City, with average highs around 93°F.
How cold does Carson City get?
The coldest month in Carson City is January, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Carson City get?
Carson City sees roughly 18 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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