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CheckWeather USCentennial
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Centennial weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Centennial's high today between 80° and 85°, a 6° split. Tomorrow looks heavy drizzle around 75°, with a 99% chance of rain.

82°59°
75°53°
70°50°
72°52°
77°54°
76°55°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowsplit ±7°Sundaysplit ±8°Mondaysplit ±10°Tuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
74°
Clear
Feels 75° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 42%
AmericanNOAA GFS
77°
Clear
Feels 76° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 31%
EuropeanECMWF
76°
Drizzle
Feels 75° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 35%

Latest for Centennial: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 74° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 77° Clear · European (ECMWF): 76° Drizzle.

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Centennial weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Centennial…

Centennial weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Centennial swings 74°F across the year, from 88°F highs in July to 14°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 22 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
88°F average high
Coldest month
January
14°F average low
Wettest month
May
22 in a year
Below freezing
5 months
January, February, March, November and December
Comfortable
2 months
April and October
Residents
110,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Centennial and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Centennial hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Centennial 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
82° 59°
±6°
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
75° 53°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
70° 50°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
72° 52°
±10°
Tue
Light drizzle
77° 54°
±8°
Wed
Partly cloudy
76° 55°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
77° 56°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
77° 56°
±10°
Sat
Mostly clear
79° 59°
±8°
Sun
Mostly clear
79° 53°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
74° 53°
±9°
Tue
Cloudy
78° 51°
±12°
Wed
Cloudy
82° 55°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
84° 55°
models agree

Centennial, Colorado (CO) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 14°F), with roughly 22 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Centennial right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Centennial climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
35°
14°
Feb
46°
19°
Mar
49°
24°
Apr
61°
35°
May
70°
44°
Jun
81°
55°
Jul
88°
60°
Aug
87°
61°
Sep
81°
52°
Oct
69°
42°
Nov
51°
27°
Dec
48°
26°

Which forecast is most accurate in Centennial?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
79
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F94±1.9 mph5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F87±4.2 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°80° to 85°±29%42% to 71% chance
Tomorrow±7°71° to 78°±66%33% to 99% chance
Sun±8°67° to 74°±40%46% to 86% chance
Mon±10°68° to 78°±30%16% to 46% chance
Tue±8°74° to 82°±24%25% to 49% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Centennial

today, local time
Sunrise
06:43
Sunset
19:02
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Centennial today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Centennial today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Centennial today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Centennial and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Centennial?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Centennial (CheckWeather Score 79/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Centennial?
July is typically the warmest month in Centennial, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Centennial get?
The coldest month in Centennial is January, when overnight lows average about 14°F.
How much rain does Centennial get?
Centennial sees roughly 22 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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