Chapel Hill weather
Loading live data…Showers,rain likely tomorrow
NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 92° in Chapel Hill today. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 83°, with a 73% chance of rain.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.Chapel Hill weather alerts and warnings
active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisoriesChecking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Chapel Hill…
Chapel Hill weather in numbers
from 30 years of measured normalsChapel Hill swings 53°F across the year, from 90°F highs in July to 37°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 47 in of precipitation.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Chapel Hill and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Chapel Hill hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
Chapel Hill 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitChapel Hill, North Carolina (NC) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 37°F), with roughly 47 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Chapel Hill right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.
Chapel Hill climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical yearWhich forecast is most accurate in Chapel Hill?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.