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CheckWeather USChula Vista
Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 9°F

Chula Vista weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Chula Vista's high today between 73° and 82°, a 9° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 77°, with a 0% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

77°66°
77°63°
77°64°
75°67°
77°66°
78°67°
Todaysplit ±9°Tomorrowsplit ±10°Sundaysplit ±10°Mondaysplit ±9°Tuesdaysplit ±11°Wednesdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
73°
Cloudy
Today 73°·Low 66°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
77°
Cloudy
Today 77°·Low 67°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
82°
Cloudy
Today 82°·Low 66°·Rain 0%
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Chula Vista weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Chula Vista…

Chula Vista weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Chula Vista swings 31°F across the year, from 78°F highs in August to 47°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 21 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
78°F average high
Coldest month
January
47°F average low
Wettest month
January
21 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and May
Residents
266,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Chula Vista and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Chula Vista hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Chula Vista 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
77° 66°
±9°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
77° 63°
±10°
Sun
Cloudy
77° 64°
±10°
Mon
Cloudy
75° 67°
±9°
Tue
Partly cloudy
77° 66°
±11°
Wed
Partly cloudy
78° 67°
±9°
Thu
Partly cloudy
79° 67°
±6°
Fri
Partly cloudy
81° 69°
±8°
Sat
Cloudy
84° 69°
±11°
Sun
Partly cloudy
89° 72°
±16°
Mon
Cloudy
88° 75°
±18°
Tue
Cloudy
90° 74°
models agree
Wed
Clear
83° 68°
±6°
Thu
Clear
77° 68°
±8°

Chula Vista, California (CA) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 78°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 47°F), with roughly 21 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Chula Vista right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Chula Vista climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
47°
Feb
62°
48°
Mar
62°
50°
Apr
65°
52°
May
67°
57°
Jun
71°
60°
Jul
76°
64°
Aug
78°
65°
Sep
76°
64°
Oct
75°
58°
Nov
71°
51°
Dec
66°
49°

Which forecast is most accurate in Chula Vista?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
79±2.1°F91±2.7 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
59
/100rank #2
15±8.5°F96±1.1 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±9°73° to 82°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±10°73° to 83°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±10°72° to 82°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±9°70° to 80°±11%7% to 18% chance
Tue±11°71° to 82°±1%0% to 1% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Chula Vista

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
18:50
Daylight
12h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Chula Vista today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Chula Vista today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Chula Vista today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Chula Vista and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Chula Vista?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Chula Vista (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the European at 59. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Chula Vista?
August is typically the warmest month in Chula Vista, with average highs around 78°F.
How cold does Chula Vista get?
The coldest month in Chula Vista is January, when overnight lows average about 47°F.
How much rain does Chula Vista get?
Chula Vista sees roughly 21 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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