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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°F

Cleveland weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 94° in Cleveland today. Tomorrow looks showers around 95°, with a 59% chance of rain.

94°71°
95°72°
93°71°
93°70°
85°68°
79°67°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±10°Wednesdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
93°
Clear
Feels 103° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 47%
AmericanNOAA GFS
94°
Clear
Feels 102° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 41%
EuropeanECMWF
93°
Drizzle
Feels 99° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 43%

Latest for Cleveland: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 93° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 94° Clear · European (ECMWF): 93° Drizzle.

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Cleveland weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Cleveland weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Cleveland swings 55°F across the year, from 89°F highs in July to 34°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 49 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
89°F average high
Coldest month
January
34°F average low
Wettest month
January
49 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
44,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Cleveland and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Cleveland hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Cleveland 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
94° 71°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
95° 72°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
93° 71°
models agree
Mon
Showers
93° 70°
models agree
Tue
Showers
85° 68°
±10°
Wed
Drizzle
79° 67°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
79° 64°
±13°
Fri
Partly cloudy
78° 61°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
77° 60°
±5°
Sun
Mostly clear
77° 59°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
79° 59°
±6°
Tue
Showers
74° 59°
±11°
Wed
Cloudy
74° 56°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
76° 51°
±13°

Cleveland, Tennessee (TN) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 34°F), with roughly 49 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Cleveland right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Cleveland climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
51°
34°
Feb
59°
40°
Mar
63°
43°
Apr
70°
50°
May
79°
59°
Jun
86°
64°
Jul
89°
70°
Aug
89°
68°
Sep
84°
63°
Oct
74°
52°
Nov
64°
45°
Dec
53°
36°

Which forecast is most accurate in Cleveland?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
80
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F95±1.5 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F94±1.8 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree94° to 95°±48%13% to 61% chance
Tomorrow±3°93° to 96°±41%18% to 59% chance
Sun±4°91° to 95°±42%25% to 67% chance
Mon±4°90° to 94°±23%50% to 73% chance
Tue±10°79° to 89°±20%68% to 88% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cleveland

today, local time
Sunrise
07:24
Sunset
19:41
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cleveland today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Cleveland today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Cleveland today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Cleveland and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cleveland?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cleveland (CheckWeather Score 80/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cleveland?
July is typically the warmest month in Cleveland, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Cleveland get?
The coldest month in Cleveland is January, when overnight lows average about 34°F.
How much rain does Cleveland get?
Cleveland sees roughly 49 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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