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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Cleveland weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 72° in Cleveland today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 74°, with a 86% chance of rain.

72°63°
74°61°
70°62°
66°59°
65°55°
61°56°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±8°Tuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
71°
Cloudy
Today 71°·Low 64°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Cloudy
Today 74°·Low 63°·Rain 6%
EuropeanECMWF
73°
Light drizzle
Today 73°·Low 63°·Rain 35%
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Cleveland weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Cleveland weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Cleveland swings 48°F across the year, from 77°F highs in July to 29°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 44 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
77°F average high
Coldest month
January
29°F average low
Wettest month
August
44 in a year
Below freezing
2 months
January and February
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and September
Residents
365,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Cleveland and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Cleveland in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Cleveland, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Cleveland hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Cleveland 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
72° 63°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
74° 61°
models agree
Sun
Rain
70° 62°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
66° 59°
±8°
Tue
Light drizzle
65° 55°
±8°
Wed
Drizzle
61° 56°
±5°
Thu
Drizzle
64° 56°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
67° 58°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
70° 54°
±7°
Sun
Mostly clear
70° 55°
±7°
Mon
Cloudy
72° 58°
±12°
Tue
Light drizzle
70° 55°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
62° 52°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
62° 53°
±6°

Cleveland, Ohio (OH) (often shortened to CLE) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 77°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 29°F), with roughly 44 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Cleveland right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Cleveland climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
38°
29°
Feb
42°
29°
Mar
45°
33°
Apr
56°
43°
May
64°
53°
Jun
74°
62°
Jul
77°
68°
Aug
76°
67°
Sep
72°
63°
Oct
62°
53°
Nov
51°
42°
Dec
42°
35°

Which forecast is most accurate in Cleveland?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
78
/100rank #1
82±1.8°F89±3.5 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
58
/100rank #2
76±2.4°F93±2.2 mph1352% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°71° to 74°±29%6% to 35% chance
Tomorrow±4°72° to 76°±53%33% to 86% chance
Sun±2°69° to 72°±7%87% to 94% chance
Mon±8°63° to 71°±4%12% to 16% chance
Tue±8°61° to 69°±5%38% to 43% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cleveland

today, local time
Sunrise
07:10
Sunset
19:30
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cleveland today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Cleveland today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Cleveland today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Cleveland and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cleveland?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cleveland (CheckWeather Score 78/100), ahead of the American at 58. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cleveland?
July is typically the warmest month in Cleveland, with average highs around 77°F.
How cold does Cleveland get?
The coldest month in Cleveland is January, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does Cleveland get?
Cleveland sees roughly 44 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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