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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Columbia weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 95° in Columbia today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 92°, with a 63% chance of rain.

95°70°
92°73°
89°73°
92°73°
86°72°
78°69°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Sundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
95°
Light rain
Today 95°·Low 71°·Rain 11%
AmericanNOAA GFS
93°
Cloudy
Today 93°·Low 69°·Rain 11%
EuropeanECMWF
96°
Drizzle
Today 96°·Low 70°·Rain 16%
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Columbia weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Columbia…

Columbia weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Columbia swings 51°F across the year, from 91°F highs in July to 40°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 48 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
91°F average high
Coldest month
January
40°F average low
Wettest month
August
48 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and October
Residents
142,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Columbia and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Columbia hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Columbia 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
95° 70°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
92° 73°
±5°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
89° 73°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
92° 73°
±5°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
86° 72°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
78° 69°
±4°
Thu
Partly cloudy
80° 66°
±11°
Fri
Mostly clear
80° 67°
±8°
Sat
Partly cloudy
78° 64°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
80° 63°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
82° 61°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
83° 65°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
90° 68°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
81° 67°
models agree

Columbia, South Carolina (SC) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 40°F), with roughly 48 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Columbia right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Columbia climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
58°
40°
Feb
64°
43°
Mar
69°
48°
Apr
76°
54°
May
81°
61°
Jun
88°
67°
Jul
91°
73°
Aug
89°
71°
Sep
82°
66°
Oct
75°
55°
Nov
66°
48°
Dec
58°
40°

Which forecast is most accurate in Columbia?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F98±0.7 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F95±1.6 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°93° to 96°±5%11% to 16% chance
Tomorrow±5°90° to 94°±48%15% to 63% chance
Sun±2°88° to 91°±29%10% to 39% chance
Mon±5°90° to 95°±34%44% to 78% chance
Tue±4°84° to 88°±10%62% to 72% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Columbia

today, local time
Sunrise
07:09
Sunset
19:26
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Columbia today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Columbia today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Columbia today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Columbia and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Columbia?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Columbia (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Columbia?
July is typically the warmest month in Columbia, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Columbia get?
The coldest month in Columbia is January, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Columbia get?
Columbia sees roughly 48 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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