Skip to main content
checkweather.io
Every US forecast, compared
CheckWeather US›Commerce City

Commerce City weather

Loading live data…

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Commerce City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Commerce City, CO is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 13°F), with roughly 20 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Commerce City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Commerce City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
34°
13°
Feb
44°
17°
Mar
50°
24°
Apr
62°
34°
May
70°
45°
Jun
82°
56°
Jul
88°
60°
Aug
88°
61°
Sep
83°
52°
Oct
69°
41°
Nov
50°
27°
Dec
47°
25°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Commerce City today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Commerce City today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Commerce City today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Commerce City and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Commerce City?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Commerce City forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Commerce City?
Jul is typically the warmest month in Commerce City, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Commerce City get?
The coldest month in Commerce City is Jan, when overnight lows average about 13°F.
How much rain does Commerce City get?
Commerce City sees roughly 20 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

NWSNational Weather Service
Open model · shown above ✓AWAccuWeather
Closed model · open ↗↗TWCThe Weather Channel
Closed model · open ↗↗

Nearby

DerbyWelbyTwin LakesSherrelwoodFederal HeightsThorntonBerkleyDenver

More US weather

Most accurate forecastUS rain radarAll US citiesHoliday weather abroadThe national forecast models, explained: NBM, UKMO, GEM and ACCESSSuper El Nino and ENSO in 2026: What It Really Means for Your Forecast