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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Coney Island weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Coney Island today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 72°, with a 2% chance of rain.

82°71°
72°61°
71°64°
70°61°
64°57°
65°56°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
82°
Light drizzle
Today 82°·Low 71°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 71°·Rain 4%
EuropeanECMWF
82°
Cloudy
Today 82°·Low 71°·Rain 57%
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Coney Island weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Coney Island weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Coney Island swings 51°F across the year, from 82°F highs in July to 31°F lows in February, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 51 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
82°F average high
Coldest month
February
31°F average low
Wettest month
March
51 in a year
Below freezing
1 month
February
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
60,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Coney Island and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Coney Island hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Coney Island 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
82° 71°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
72° 61°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
71° 64°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
70° 61°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
64° 57°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
65° 56°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
64° 56°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
64° 56°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
69° 58°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
70° 60°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
70° 60°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
75° 62°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
78° 64°
models agree
Thu
Rain
69° 58°
±5°

Coney Island, New York (NY) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 31°F), with roughly 51 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Coney Island right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Coney Island climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
44°
33°
Feb
45°
31°
Mar
51°
36°
Apr
59°
45°
May
67°
53°
Jun
76°
63°
Jul
82°
70°
Aug
80°
67°
Sep
75°
62°
Oct
67°
52°
Nov
55°
41°
Dec
45°
34°

Which forecast is most accurate in Coney Island?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
80±2.0°F90±3.1 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
71
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F94±1.9 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°82° to 83°±53%4% to 57% chance
Tomorrow±4°70° to 73°±2%0% to 2% chance
Sun±3°70° to 73°±15%77% to 92% chance
Mon±3°68° to 71°±3%74% to 77% chance
Tue±1°64° to 65°±22%8% to 30% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Coney Island

today, local time
Sunrise
06:39
Sunset
18:59
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Coney Island today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Coney Island today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Coney Island today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Coney Island and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Coney Island?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Coney Island (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the American at 71. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Coney Island?
July is typically the warmest month in Coney Island, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Coney Island get?
The coldest month in Coney Island is February, when overnight lows average about 31°F.
How much rain does Coney Island get?
Coney Island sees roughly 51 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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