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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Danville weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 92° in Danville today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 82°, with a 47% chance of rain.

92°71°
82°70°
86°68°
86°69°
71°65°
65°60°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Sundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±8°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
93°
Showers
Today 93°·Low 72°·Rain 22%
AmericanNOAA GFS
91°
Cloudy
Today 91°·Low 70°·Rain 22%
EuropeanECMWF
93°
Thunderstorm
Today 93°·Low 72°·Rain 94%
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Danville weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Danville weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Danville swings 55°F across the year, from 90°F highs in July to 35°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 40 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
90°F average high
Coldest month
January
35°F average low
Wettest month
September
40 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and October
Residents
42,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Danville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Danville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Danville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
92° 71°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
82° 70°
±4°
Sun
Partly cloudy
86° 68°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
86° 69°
±8°
Tue
Light rain
71° 65°
±5°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
65° 60°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
71° 59°
±7°
Fri
Light drizzle
73° 59°
±7°
Sat
Partly cloudy
73° 56°
±6°
Sun
Cloudy
75° 54°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
76° 55°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
76° 58°
±8°
Wed
Light rain
82° 62°
models agree
Thu
Clear
75° 56°
±11°

Danville, Virginia (VA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 35°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Danville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Danville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
52°
35°
Feb
57°
38°
Mar
63°
41°
Apr
73°
49°
May
77°
57°
Jun
86°
63°
Jul
90°
70°
Aug
87°
67°
Sep
80°
62°
Oct
72°
51°
Nov
62°
42°
Dec
53°
35°

Which forecast is most accurate in Danville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
79
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F97±0.9 mph5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
53
/100rank #2
72±2.8°F95±1.6 mph042% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°91° to 93°±72%22% to 94% chance
Tomorrow±4°81° to 85°±38%9% to 47% chance
Sun±2°85° to 87°±47%12% to 59% chance
Mon±8°83° to 90°±17%53% to 70% chance
Tue±5°69° to 73°±1%67% to 68% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Danville

today, local time
Sunrise
07:02
Sunset
19:20
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Danville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Danville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Danville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Danville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Danville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Danville (CheckWeather Score 79/100), ahead of the American at 53. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Danville?
July is typically the warmest month in Danville, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Danville get?
The coldest month in Danville is January, when overnight lows average about 35°F.
How much rain does Danville get?
Danville sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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