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CheckWeather USDearborn
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Dearborn weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 73° in Dearborn today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 67°, with a 94% chance of rain.

73°57°
67°59°
67°60°
64°56°
63°53°
61°55°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±8°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
73°
Cloudy
Today 73°·Low 57°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Cloudy
Today 74°·Low 56°·Rain 4%
EuropeanECMWF
73°
Cloudy
Today 73°·Low 57°·Rain 14%
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Dearborn weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Dearborn weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Dearborn swings 58°F across the year, from 83°F highs in July to 25°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 38 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
83°F average high
Coldest month
January
25°F average low
Wettest month
July
38 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
95,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Dearborn and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dearborn hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dearborn 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
73° 57°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
67° 59°
models agree
Sun
Heavy rain
67° 60°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
64° 56°
±8°
Tue
Cloudy
63° 53°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
61° 55°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
62° 56°
±5°
Fri
Partly cloudy
68° 56°
±11°
Sat
Mostly clear
71° 54°
±9°
Sun
Clear
71° 54°
±7°
Mon
Cloudy
73° 55°
±11°
Tue
Showers
66° 54°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
60° 50°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
66° 49°
±6°

Dearborn, Michigan (MI) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 25°F), with roughly 38 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Dearborn right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Dearborn climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
35°
25°
Feb
43°
26°
Mar
48°
31°
Apr
60°
41°
May
72°
50°
Jun
80°
60°
Jul
83°
64°
Aug
80°
62°
Sep
76°
59°
Oct
64°
47°
Nov
50°
37°
Dec
42°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Dearborn?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±0.8 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
68
/100rank #2
72±2.8°F93±2.1 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°73° to 74°±10%4% to 14% chance
Tomorrow±1°66° to 67°±40%54% to 94% chance
Sun±5°66° to 70°±12%83% to 95% chance
Mon±8°61° to 69°±5%9% to 14% chance
Tue±2°62° to 64°±8%14% to 22% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dearborn

today, local time
Sunrise
07:15
Sunset
19:36
Daylight
12h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dearborn today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Dearborn today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dearborn today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Dearborn and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dearborn?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dearborn (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 68. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dearborn?
July is typically the warmest month in Dearborn, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Dearborn get?
The coldest month in Dearborn is January, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Dearborn get?
Dearborn sees roughly 38 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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