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CheckWeather USEl Cajon
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

El Cajon weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in El Cajon today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 82°, with a 0% chance of rain.

81°64°
82°61°
80°61°
78°65°
80°64°
83°66°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
79°
Clear
Feels 85° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 54%
AmericanNOAA GFS
81°
Clear
Feels 84° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 48%
EuropeanECMWF
80°
Clear
Feels 84° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 48%

Latest for El Cajon: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 79° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 81° Clear · European (ECMWF): 80° Clear.

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El Cajon weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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El Cajon weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

El Cajon swings 42°F across the year, from 87°F highs in August to 45°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 23 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
87°F average high
Coldest month
January
45°F average low
Wettest month
January
23 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and May
Residents
104,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around El Cajon and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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El Cajon hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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El Cajon 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
81° 64°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
82° 61°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
80° 61°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
78° 65°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
80° 64°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
83° 66°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
84° 67°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
85° 69°
±15°
Sat
Cloudy
87° 69°
±14°
Sun
Mostly clear
91° 72°
±10°
Mon
Cloudy
92° 75°
±15°
Tue
Cloudy
92° 76°
±5°
Wed
Clear
84° 68°
models agree
Thu
Clear
77° 67°
models agree

El Cajon, California (CA) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 45°F), with roughly 23 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for El Cajon right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

El Cajon climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
45°
Feb
62°
45°
Mar
62°
46°
Apr
69°
50°
May
71°
53°
Jun
77°
57°
Jul
86°
62°
Aug
87°
64°
Sep
83°
62°
Oct
82°
58°
Nov
73°
50°
Dec
69°
48°

Which forecast is most accurate in El Cajon?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
77±2.3°F97±1.0 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F95±1.6 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°80° to 82°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°82° to 83°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±2°80° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°78° to 79°±14%4% to 18% chance
Tue±2°79° to 81°±1%0% to 1% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in El Cajon

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
18:49
Daylight
12h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in El Cajon today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for El Cajon today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in El Cajon today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for El Cajon and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for El Cajon?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for El Cajon (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in El Cajon?
August is typically the warmest month in El Cajon, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does El Cajon get?
The coldest month in El Cajon is January, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does El Cajon get?
El Cajon sees roughly 23 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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