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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

El Paso weather

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Drizzle,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 91° in El Paso today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 93°, with a 35% chance of rain.

91°68°
93°68°
92°68°
93°72°
89°73°
81°69°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
91°
Drizzle
Today 91°·Low 71°·Rain 39%
AmericanNOAA GFS
92°
Heavy showers
Today 92°·Low 67°·Rain 39%
EuropeanECMWF
91°
Light drizzle
Today 91°·Low 67°·Rain 59%
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El Paso weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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El Paso weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

El Paso swings 64°F across the year, from 98°F highs in July to 34°F lows in January, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 4 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
98°F average high
Coldest month
January
34°F average low
Wettest month
February
4 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, November and December
Residents
679,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around El Paso and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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El Paso in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of El Paso, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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El Paso hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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El Paso 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
91° 68°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
93° 68°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
92° 68°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
93° 72°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
89° 73°
±6°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
81° 69°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
80° 69°
±10°
Fri
Drizzle
79° 70°
±21°
Sat
Drizzle
84° 70°
±12°
Sun
Light drizzle
87° 70°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
85° 69°
±5°
Tue
Partly cloudy
85° 69°
±7°
Wed
Clear
86° 73°
±12°
Thu
Clear
86° 71°
±14°

El Paso, Texas (TX). Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for El Paso right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down El Paso's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

El Paso weather by month

what to expect in El Paso through the year

Here is El Paso's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to El Paso by season.

Jan
57°
34°
Cool
Feb
61°
37°
Mild
Wettest
Mar
69°
43°
Mild
Apr
78°
50°
Warm
May
88°
60°
Hot
Jun
97°
70°
Hot
Jul
98°
74°
Hot
Aug
96°
73°
Hot
Sep
91°
66°
Hot
Oct
82°
57°
Warm
Nov
66°
43°
Mild
Dec
61°
37°
Mild

What El Paso's weather is like through the year

El Paso runs from warm summers, with July highs near 98°F, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 34°F (a swing of about 64°F across the year). February is usually the wettest month, and El Paso sees roughly 4 inches of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit El Paso

The most comfortable time to visit El Paso is usually March, April, November and December, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest February rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in El Paso?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F93±2.1 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
63
/100rank #2
65±3.5°F90±3.3 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for El Paso, scoring 91/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 63. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°91° to 92°±20%39% to 59% chance
Tomorrow±3°91° to 94°±29%6% to 35% chance
Sun±1°91° to 93°±5%0% to 5% chance
Mon±3°92° to 95°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±6°85° to 91°±17%62% to 79% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in El Paso

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:07
Daylight
12h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in El Paso today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for El Paso today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in El Paso today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for El Paso and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for El Paso?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for El Paso (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 63. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in El Paso?
July is typically the warmest month in El Paso, with average highs around 98°F.
How cold does El Paso get?
The coldest month in El Paso is January, when overnight lows average about 34°F.
How much rain does El Paso get?
El Paso sees roughly 4 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit El Paso?
The most comfortable time to visit El Paso is usually March, April, November and December, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest February rain is behind you.
Does it snow in El Paso?
Rarely - El Paso very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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