CheckWeather US›Elmira
Elmira weather
Loading live data…The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Elmira and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Loading the three model maps…
Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models7-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitElmira, NY is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 25°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Elmira right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
Elmira climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical yearJan
38°
27°
Feb
45°
25°
Mar
48°
30°
Apr
61°
40°
May
71°
48°
Jun
78°
57°
Jul
84°
63°
Aug
78°
60°
Sep
74°
55°
Oct
63°
46°
Nov
49°
35°
Dec
41°
29°
Which forecast is most accurate in the US?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.
Common questions
What's the weather in Elmira today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Elmira today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Elmira today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Elmira and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Elmira?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Elmira forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Elmira?
July is typically the warmest month in Elmira, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Elmira get?
The coldest month in Elmira is February, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Elmira get?
Elmira sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.
The forecasts Americans check
The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.