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Elmira weather

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Elmira weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Elmira weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Elmira swings 59°F across the year, from 84°F highs in July to 25°F lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 42 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
84°F average high
Coldest month
February
25°F average low
Wettest month
August
42 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and September
Residents
28,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Elmira and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Elmira hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Elmira 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Elmira, New York (NY) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 25°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Elmira right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Elmira climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
38°
27°
Feb
45°
25°
Mar
48°
30°
Apr
61°
40°
May
71°
48°
Jun
78°
57°
Jul
84°
63°
Aug
78°
60°
Sep
74°
55°
Oct
63°
46°
Nov
49°
35°
Dec
41°
29°

Which forecast is most accurate in Elmira?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F98±0.6 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
90±1.0°F96±1.2 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Elmira today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Elmira today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Elmira today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Elmira and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Elmira?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Elmira (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Elmira?
July is typically the warmest month in Elmira, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Elmira get?
The coldest month in Elmira is February, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Elmira get?
Elmira sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

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