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Elsa weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
95°
Clear
Feels 106° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 47%
AmericanNOAA GFS
95°
Mainly clear
Feels 102° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 48%
EuropeanECMWF
98°
Mainly clear
Feels 105° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 36%

Latest for Elsa: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 95° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 95° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): 98° Mainly clear.

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Elsa weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Elsa…

Elsa weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Elsa swings 43°F across the year, from 98°F highs in August to 55°F lows in January, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 28 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
98°F average high
Coldest month
January
55°F average low
Wettest month
April
28 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
3 months
January, February and December
Residents
6,647
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Elsa and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Elsa hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Elsa 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Elsa, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 98°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 55°F), with roughly 28 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Elsa right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Elsa climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
74°
55°
Feb
77°
58°
Mar
83°
65°
Apr
85°
68°
May
93°
75°
Jun
97°
79°
Jul
96°
79°
Aug
98°
80°
Sep
95°
77°
Oct
88°
70°
Nov
79°
63°
Dec
76°
59°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F96±1.2 mph8491% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F93±2.3 mph4972% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Elsa today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Elsa today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Elsa today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Elsa and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Elsa?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Elsa forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Elsa?
August is typically the warmest month in Elsa, with average highs around 98°F.
How cold does Elsa get?
The coldest month in Elsa is January, when overnight lows average about 55°F.
How much rain does Elsa get?
Elsa sees roughly 28 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

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