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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Evansville weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 97° in Evansville today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 95°, with a 22% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

97°75°
95°75°
96°75°
88°70°
78°64°
77°60°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±10°Sundaysplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
98°
Light drizzle
Today 98°·Low 76°·Rain 10%
AmericanNOAA GFS
97°
Cloudy
Today 97°·Low 75°·Rain 10%
EuropeanECMWF
95°
Light drizzle
Today 95°·Low 76°·Rain 65%
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Evansville weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Evansville weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Evansville swings 58°F across the year, from 88°F highs in July to 30°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 41 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
88°F average high
Coldest month
January
30°F average low
Wettest month
January
41 in a year
Below freezing
1 month
January
Comfortable
2 months
April and October
Residents
120,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Evansville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Evansville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Evansville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
97° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
95° 75°
±10°
Sun
Cloudy
96° 75°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
88° 70°
±7°
Tue
Drizzle
78° 64°
±8°
Wed
Partly cloudy
77° 60°
±6°
Thu
Mostly clear
76° 59°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
77° 60°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
77° 61°
±9°
Sun
Cloudy
81° 59°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
82° 59°
±9°
Tue
Light rain
74° 55°
±11°
Wed
Cloudy
73° 52°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
77° 52°
±9°

Evansville, Indiana (IN) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 30°F), with roughly 41 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Evansville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Evansville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
44°
30°
Feb
55°
35°
Mar
59°
40°
Apr
69°
49°
May
79°
60°
Jun
86°
66°
Jul
88°
70°
Aug
86°
69°
Sep
82°
64°
Oct
71°
52°
Nov
59°
43°
Dec
49°
35°

Which forecast is most accurate in Evansville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F98±0.7 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
64±3.6°F95±1.6 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°95° to 98°±55%10% to 65% chance
Tomorrow±10°89° to 99°±13%9% to 22% chance
Sun±5°94° to 98°±16%4% to 20% chance
Mon±7°85° to 92°±18%35% to 53% chance
Tue±8°74° to 82°models agree29% to 29% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Evansville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
18:53
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Evansville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Evansville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Evansville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Evansville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Evansville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Evansville (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Evansville?
July is typically the warmest month in Evansville, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Evansville get?
The coldest month in Evansville is January, when overnight lows average about 30°F.
How much rain does Evansville get?
Evansville sees roughly 41 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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