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CheckWeather USFayetteville
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Fayetteville weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 94° in Fayetteville today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 85°, with a 34% chance of rain.

94°71°
85°73°
88°70°
90°71°
84°70°
76°66°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Sundaysplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
85°
Mainly clear
Feels 92° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 68%
AmericanNOAA GFS
85°
Clear
Feels 94° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 63%
EuropeanECMWF
85°
Light drizzle
Feels 90° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 62%

Latest for Fayetteville: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 85° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 85° Clear · European (ECMWF): 85° Light drizzle.

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Fayetteville weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Fayetteville weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Fayetteville swings 51°F across the year, from 90°F highs in July to 39°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 48 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
90°F average high
Coldest month
January
39°F average low
Wettest month
August
48 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and October
Residents
202,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Fayetteville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Fayetteville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Fayetteville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
94° 71°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
85° 73°
±5°
Sun
Mostly clear
88° 70°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
90° 71°
±4°
Tue
Light rain
84° 70°
±8°
Wed
Light drizzle
76° 66°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
78° 65°
±8°
Fri
Light drizzle
76° 64°
±8°
Sat
Partly cloudy
76° 61°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
77° 59°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
79° 59°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
79° 64°
±7°
Wed
Drizzle
85° 67°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
78° 66°
±8°

Fayetteville, North Carolina (NC) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 39°F), with roughly 48 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Fayetteville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Fayetteville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
57°
39°
Feb
61°
42°
Mar
67°
47°
Apr
74°
53°
May
79°
61°
Jun
87°
67°
Jul
90°
73°
Aug
88°
71°
Sep
82°
65°
Oct
73°
54°
Nov
65°
46°
Dec
57°
39°

Which forecast is most accurate in Fayetteville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F97±0.9 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
68
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F94±2.0 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°93° to 94°±6%57% to 63% chance
Tomorrow±5°83° to 88°±19%15% to 34% chance
Sun±5°85° to 91°±3%7% to 10% chance
Mon±4°89° to 93°±19%57% to 76% chance
Tue±8°81° to 89°±13%59% to 72% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fayetteville

today, local time
Sunrise
07:00
Sunset
19:17
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fayetteville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Fayetteville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Fayetteville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Fayetteville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fayetteville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fayetteville (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 68. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fayetteville?
July is typically the warmest month in Fayetteville, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Fayetteville get?
The coldest month in Fayetteville is January, when overnight lows average about 39°F.
How much rain does Fayetteville get?
Fayetteville sees roughly 48 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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