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CheckWeather USFleming Island

Fleming Island weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Fleming Island and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Fleming Island, FL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 50°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Fleming Island right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Fleming Island climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
67°
50°
Feb
71°
53°
Mar
75°
59°
Apr
80°
62°
May
85°
69°
Jun
89°
74°
Jul
91°
77°
Aug
90°
77°
Sep
85°
73°
Oct
79°
66°
Nov
73°
60°
Dec
67°
53°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Fleming Island today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Fleming Island today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Fleming Island today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Fleming Island and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fleming Island?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Fleming Island forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Fleming Island?
Jul is typically the warmest month in Fleming Island, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Fleming Island get?
The coldest month in Fleming Island is Jan, when overnight lows average about 50°F.
How much rain does Fleming Island get?
Fleming Island sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with Sep usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

Nearby

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