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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Flint weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 70° in Flint today. Tomorrow looks heavy drizzle around 63°, with a 100% chance of rain.

70°52°
63°56°
67°56°
61°52°
62°48°
61°52°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
70°
Cloudy
Today 70°·Low 52°·Rain 13%
AmericanNOAA GFS
71°
Cloudy
Today 71°·Low 51°·Rain 13%
EuropeanECMWF
70°
Cloudy
Today 70°·Low 53°·Rain 45%
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Flint weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Flint weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Flint swings 58°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 23°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 38 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
81°F average high
Coldest month
January
23°F average low
Wettest month
July
38 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, August and September
Residents
98,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Flint and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Flint hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Flint 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
70° 52°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
63° 56°
models agree
Sun
Rain
67° 56°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
61° 52°
±6°
Tue
Cloudy
62° 48°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
61° 52°
±7°
Thu
Partly cloudy
62° 54°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
68° 52°
±6°
Sat
Mostly clear
70° 49°
±6°
Sun
Partly cloudy
70° 49°
±9°
Mon
Cloudy
69° 52°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
63° 51°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
60° 48°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
64° 46°
±4°

Flint, Michigan (MI) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 23°F), with roughly 38 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Flint right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Flint climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
34°
23°
Feb
42°
25°
Mar
46°
29°
Apr
60°
39°
May
72°
49°
Jun
79°
59°
Jul
81°
63°
Aug
78°
60°
Sep
75°
57°
Oct
62°
46°
Nov
48°
35°
Dec
39°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Flint?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F95±1.7 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°70° to 71°±32%13% to 45% chance
Tomorrow±2°62° to 64°±52%48% to 100% chance
Sun±5°64° to 69°±17%75% to 92% chance
Mon±6°59° to 65°±10%3% to 13% chance
Tue±5°61° to 66°±9%7% to 16% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Flint

today, local time
Sunrise
07:17
Sunset
19:39
Daylight
12h 22m

Common questions

What's the weather in Flint today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Flint today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Flint today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Flint and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Flint?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Flint (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Flint?
July is typically the warmest month in Flint, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Flint get?
The coldest month in Flint is January, when overnight lows average about 23°F.
How much rain does Flint get?
Flint sees roughly 38 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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