Frederick weather
Loading live data…Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow
NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Frederick today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 77°, with a 8% chance of rain.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.Frederick weather alerts and warnings
active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisoriesChecking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Frederick…
Frederick weather in numbers
from 30 years of measured normalsFrederick swings 60°F across the year, from 90°F highs in July to 30°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 42 in of precipitation.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Frederick and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Frederick hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
Frederick 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitFrederick, Maryland (MD) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 30°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Frederick right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.
Frederick climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical yearWhich forecast is most accurate in Frederick?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
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Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.