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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Germantown weather

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Drizzle,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Germantown today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 78°, with a 4% chance of rain.

82°70°
78°61°
82°68°
71°60°
63°57°
60°53°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±7°Mondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Partly cloudy
Feels 80° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 59%
AmericanNOAA GFS
79°
Mainly clear
Feels 81° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 55%
EuropeanECMWF
80°
Overcast
Feels 80° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 47%

Latest for Germantown: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 78° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 79° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): 80° Overcast.

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Germantown weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Germantown weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Germantown swings 57°F across the year, from 89°F highs in July to 32°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 42 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
89°F average high
Coldest month
January
32°F average low
Wettest month
June
42 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
86,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Germantown and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Germantown hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Germantown 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
82° 70°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
78° 61°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
82° 68°
±7°
Mon
Drizzle
71° 60°
±6°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
63° 57°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
60° 53°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
63° 54°
±7°
Fri
Drizzle
69° 55°
±7°
Sat
Light drizzle
70° 51°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
71° 52°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
72° 55°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
76° 56°
models agree
Wed
Showers
70° 59°
models agree
Thu
Clear
70° 51°
±8°

Germantown, Maryland (MD) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 32°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Germantown right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Germantown climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
45°
32°
Feb
50°
32°
Mar
55°
36°
Apr
68°
47°
May
73°
53°
Jun
83°
62°
Jul
89°
69°
Aug
85°
66°
Sep
77°
60°
Oct
68°
49°
Nov
56°
39°
Dec
47°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in Germantown?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F97±0.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
62
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F96±1.4 mph1352% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°81° to 83°±69%11% to 80% chance
Tomorrow±3°77° to 79°±4%0% to 4% chance
Sun±7°80° to 87°±21%55% to 76% chance
Mon±6°69° to 75°±6%55% to 61% chance
Tue±4°61° to 65°±5%46% to 51% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Germantown

today, local time
Sunrise
06:53
Sunset
19:12
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Germantown today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Germantown today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Germantown today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Germantown and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Germantown?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Germantown (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 62. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Germantown?
July is typically the warmest month in Germantown, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Germantown get?
The coldest month in Germantown is January, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does Germantown get?
Germantown sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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