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CheckWeather USGrand Junction
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Grand Junction weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Grand Junction's high today between 78° and 83°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 76°, with a 96% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

80°59°
76°56°
77°53°
80°56°
78°58°
76°57°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±9°Sundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±10°Wednesdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
79°
Light drizzle
Today 79°·Low 59°·Rain 13%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 59°·Rain 13%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Drizzle
Today 78°·Low 59°·Rain 88%
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Grand Junction weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Grand Junction…

Grand Junction weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Grand Junction swings 75°F across the year, from 99°F highs in July to 24°F lows in January, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 18 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
99°F average high
Coldest month
January
24°F average low
Wettest month
March
18 in a year
Below freezing
5 months
January, February, March, November and December
Comfortable
3 months
April, May and October
Residents
60,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Grand Junction and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Grand Junction hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Grand Junction 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
80° 59°
±5°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
76° 56°
±9°
Sun
Mostly clear
77° 53°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
80° 56°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
78° 58°
±10°
Wed
Light drizzle
76° 57°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
79° 58°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
75° 60°
±21°
Sat
Light drizzle
78° 60°
±16°
Sun
Mostly clear
80° 58°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
79° 58°
±14°
Tue
Clear
81° 58°
±15°
Wed
Cloudy
79° 57°
±5°
Thu
Partly cloudy
75° 56°
±9°

Grand Junction, Colorado (CO) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 99°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 24°F), with roughly 18 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Grand Junction right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Grand Junction climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
40°
24°
Feb
44°
24°
Mar
52°
29°
Apr
66°
38°
May
78°
48°
Jun
90°
60°
Jul
99°
67°
Aug
93°
65°
Sep
86°
56°
Oct
72°
45°
Nov
50°
30°
Dec
44°
26°

Which forecast is most accurate in Grand Junction?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F96±1.4 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
75±2.5°F90±3.0 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°78° to 83°±75%13% to 88% chance
Tomorrow±9°71° to 81°±75%21% to 96% chance
Sun±3°75° to 79°±14%8% to 22% chance
Mon±3°79° to 82°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±10°74° to 84°±7%30% to 37% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Grand Junction

today, local time
Sunrise
06:58
Sunset
19:17
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Grand Junction today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Grand Junction today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Grand Junction today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Grand Junction and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Grand Junction?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Grand Junction (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 73. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Grand Junction?
July is typically the warmest month in Grand Junction, with average highs around 99°F.
How cold does Grand Junction get?
The coldest month in Grand Junction is January, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Grand Junction get?
Grand Junction sees roughly 18 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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