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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Jackson weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 99° in Jackson today. Tomorrow looks clear around 99°, with a 4% chance of rain.

99°71°
99°74°
100°74°
98°74°
87°69°
83°64°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
99°
Clear
Today 99°·Low 73°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
99°
Cloudy
Today 99°·Low 68°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
98°
Clear
Today 98°·Low 73°·Rain 6%
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Jackson weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Jackson weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Jackson swings 56°F across the year, from 90°F highs in July to 34°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 54 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
90°F average high
Coldest month
January
34°F average low
Wettest month
May
54 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and October
Residents
67,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Jackson and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Jackson hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Jackson 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
99° 71°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
99° 74°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
100° 74°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
98° 74°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
87° 69°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
83° 64°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
83° 61°
±4°
Fri
Partly cloudy
83° 61°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
83° 61°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
86° 60°
±13°
Mon
Light drizzle
86° 61°
models agree
Tue
Rain
77° 59°
±13°
Wed
Clear
78° 54°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
81° 54°
±5°

Jackson, Tennessee (TN) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 34°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Jackson right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Jackson climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
50°
34°
Feb
60°
41°
Mar
64°
44°
Apr
71°
52°
May
81°
62°
Jun
88°
67°
Jul
90°
72°
Aug
90°
71°
Sep
83°
65°
Oct
76°
55°
Nov
64°
46°
Dec
55°
39°

Which forecast is most accurate in Jackson?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
82
/100rank #1
81±1.9°F97±0.9 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F94±1.8 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°98° to 99°±5%1% to 6% chance
Tomorrow±1°98° to 99°±2%2% to 4% chance
Sun±3°98° to 102°±15%1% to 16% chance
Mon±4°95° to 100°±20%25% to 45% chance
Tue±4°85° to 89°±8%25% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Jackson

today, local time
Sunrise
06:40
Sunset
18:57
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Jackson today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Jackson today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Jackson today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Jackson and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Jackson?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Jackson (CheckWeather Score 82/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Jackson?
July is typically the warmest month in Jackson, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Jackson get?
The coldest month in Jackson is January, when overnight lows average about 34°F.
How much rain does Jackson get?
Jackson sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

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