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CheckWeather USJohnson City
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Johnson City weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 87° in Johnson City today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 86°, with a 54% chance of rain.

87°69°
86°67°
85°68°
86°67°
80°66°
75°64°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±7°Sundaysplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Mainly clear
Feels 96° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 57%
AmericanNOAA GFS
86°
Clear
Feels 93° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 52%
EuropeanECMWF
87°
Clear
Feels 93° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 48%

Latest for Johnson City: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 87° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 86° Clear · European (ECMWF): 87° Clear.

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Johnson City weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Johnson City weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Johnson City swings 56°F across the year, from 87°F highs in July to 31°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 44 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
87°F average high
Coldest month
January
31°F average low
Wettest month
September
44 in a year
Below freezing
1 month
January
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and October
Residents
66,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Johnson City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Johnson City hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Johnson City 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
87° 69°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
86° 67°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
85° 68°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
86° 67°
±4°
Tue
Thunderstorm
80° 66°
±8°
Wed
Drizzle
75° 64°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
76° 62°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
73° 58°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
73° 56°
±9°
Sun
Mostly clear
74° 56°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
75° 56°
±8°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
77° 57°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
71° 56°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
72° 50°
±15°

Johnson City, Tennessee (TN) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 31°F), with roughly 44 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Johnson City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Johnson City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
48°
31°
Feb
57°
37°
Mar
60°
39°
Apr
68°
47°
May
75°
55°
Jun
82°
61°
Jul
87°
66°
Aug
84°
64°
Sep
80°
59°
Oct
70°
49°
Nov
60°
41°
Dec
51°
34°

Which forecast is most accurate in Johnson City?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F96±1.1 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
67
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F94±1.9 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°86° to 88°±60%40% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±7°83° to 90°±40%14% to 54% chance
Sun±5°83° to 88°±30%46% to 76% chance
Mon±4°84° to 88°±29%57% to 86% chance
Tue±8°77° to 84°±2%82% to 84% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Johnson City

today, local time
Sunrise
07:14
Sunset
19:32
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Johnson City today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Johnson City today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Johnson City today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Johnson City and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Johnson City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Johnson City (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 67. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Johnson City?
July is typically the warmest month in Johnson City, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Johnson City get?
The coldest month in Johnson City is January, when overnight lows average about 31°F.
How much rain does Johnson City get?
Johnson City sees roughly 44 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

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