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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Jonesboro weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Jonesboro's high today between 97° and 101°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 99°, with a 1% chance of rain.

99°74°
99°75°
99°75°
94°74°
85°68°
82°63°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
100°
Clear
Feels 104° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 31%
AmericanNOAA GFS
98°
Clear
Feels 101° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 33%
EuropeanECMWF
97°
Clear
Feels 101° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 32%

Latest for Jonesboro: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 100° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 98° Clear · European (ECMWF): 97° Clear.

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Jonesboro weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Jonesboro weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Jonesboro swings 56°F across the year, from 89°F highs in July to 33°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 54 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
89°F average high
Coldest month
January
33°F average low
Wettest month
January
54 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
74,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Jonesboro and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Jonesboro hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Jonesboro 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
99° 74°
±4°
Tomorrow
Clear
99° 75°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
99° 75°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
94° 74°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
85° 68°
±7°
Wed
Mostly clear
82° 63°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
82° 61°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
79° 61°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
82° 62°
±8°
Sun
Cloudy
86° 63°
±14°
Mon
Light drizzle
83° 62°
±8°
Tue
Cloudy
79° 57°
±16°
Wed
Partly cloudy
78° 55°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
83° 56°
±6°

Jonesboro, Arkansas (AR) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 33°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Jonesboro right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Jonesboro climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
48°
33°
Feb
59°
40°
Mar
63°
45°
Apr
71°
53°
May
81°
62°
Jun
88°
69°
Jul
89°
73°
Aug
89°
72°
Sep
83°
66°
Oct
74°
55°
Nov
63°
46°
Dec
54°
39°

Which forecast is most accurate in Jonesboro?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
84±1.6°F95±1.4 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F94±1.9 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°97° to 101°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°97° to 100°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±4°98° to 102°±1%1% to 2% chance
Mon±7°90° to 97°±18%31% to 49% chance
Tue±7°82° to 89°±19%12% to 31% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Jonesboro

today, local time
Sunrise
06:47
Sunset
19:05
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Jonesboro today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Jonesboro today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Jonesboro today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Jonesboro and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Jonesboro?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Jonesboro (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Jonesboro?
July is typically the warmest month in Jonesboro, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Jonesboro get?
The coldest month in Jonesboro is January, when overnight lows average about 33°F.
How much rain does Jonesboro get?
Jonesboro sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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