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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

La Jolla weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 75° in La Jolla today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 75°, with a 1% chance of rain.

75°67°
75°63°
76°62°
75°67°
76°65°
77°67°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
74°
Cloudy
Today 74°·Low 67°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Cloudy
Today 75°·Low 66°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
76°
Cloudy
Today 76°·Low 67°·Rain 2%
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La Jolla weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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La Jolla weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

La Jolla swings 32°F across the year, from 79°F highs in August to 47°F lows in February, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 19 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
79°F average high
Coldest month
February
47°F average low
Wettest month
February
19 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
43,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around La Jolla and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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La Jolla hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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La Jolla 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
75° 67°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
75° 63°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
76° 62°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
75° 67°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
76° 65°
±4°
Wed
Partly cloudy
77° 67°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
78° 67°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
79° 69°
±8°
Sat
Cloudy
81° 69°
±9°
Sun
Partly cloudy
84° 71°
±14°
Mon
Cloudy
84° 73°
±15°
Tue
Cloudy
87° 73°
±4°
Wed
Clear
78° 68°
models agree
Thu
Clear
75° 67°
±5°

La Jolla, California (CA) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 79°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 47°F), with roughly 19 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for La Jolla right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

La Jolla climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
48°
Feb
61°
47°
Mar
61°
49°
Apr
65°
52°
May
67°
57°
Jun
71°
60°
Jul
77°
65°
Aug
79°
66°
Sep
77°
64°
Oct
76°
59°
Nov
71°
51°
Dec
66°
49°

Which forecast is most accurate in La Jolla?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F98±0.7 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
67±3.3°F96±1.2 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°74° to 76°±1%1% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±4°73° to 77°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±5°74° to 78°±1%1% to 2% chance
Mon±3°73° to 76°±7%3% to 10% chance
Tue±4°73° to 78°models agree2% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in La Jolla

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
18:50
Daylight
12h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in La Jolla today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for La Jolla today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in La Jolla today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for La Jolla and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for La Jolla?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for La Jolla (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in La Jolla?
August is typically the warmest month in La Jolla, with average highs around 79°F.
How cold does La Jolla get?
The coldest month in La Jolla is February, when overnight lows average about 47°F.
How much rain does La Jolla get?
La Jolla sees roughly 19 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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