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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Lafayette weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 92° in Lafayette today. Tomorrow looks clear around 95°, with a 2% chance of rain.

92°69°
95°72°
95°74°
95°76°
96°75°
94°75°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
92°
Clear
Today 92°·Low 70°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
92°
Clear
Today 92°·Low 70°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
91°
Clear
Today 91°·Low 68°·Rain 0%
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Lafayette weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Lafayette weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Lafayette swings 50°F across the year, from 96°F highs in August to 46°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 55 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
96°F average high
Coldest month
January
46°F average low
Wettest month
January
55 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and November
Residents
121,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lafayette and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lafayette hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lafayette 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
92° 69°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
95° 72°
models agree
Sun
Clear
95° 74°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
95° 76°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
96° 75°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
94° 75°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
93° 73°
±8°
Fri
Mostly clear
93° 72°
±8°
Sat
Mostly clear
92° 73°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
92° 71°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
91° 69°
±7°
Tue
Light rain
88° 71°
±11°
Wed
Mostly clear
87° 67°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
89° 65°
models agree

Lafayette, Louisiana (LA) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 46°F), with roughly 55 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lafayette right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lafayette climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
63°
46°
Feb
68°
51°
Mar
73°
56°
Apr
77°
61°
May
85°
69°
Jun
91°
75°
Jul
91°
77°
Aug
96°
78°
Sep
89°
72°
Oct
82°
63°
Nov
72°
57°
Dec
65°
48°

Which forecast is most accurate in Lafayette?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F96±1.3 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
65
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F92±2.5 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°91° to 92°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°94° to 96°±2%0% to 2% chance
Sun±2°94° to 96°±9%9% to 18% chance
Mon±2°94° to 96°±33%14% to 47% chance
Tue±2°95° to 97°±41%14% to 55% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lafayette

today, local time
Sunrise
06:54
Sunset
19:09
Daylight
12h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lafayette today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lafayette today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lafayette today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lafayette and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lafayette?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lafayette (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 65. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lafayette?
August is typically the warmest month in Lafayette, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does Lafayette get?
The coldest month in Lafayette is January, when overnight lows average about 46°F.
How much rain does Lafayette get?
Lafayette sees roughly 55 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

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