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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Laguna weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 87° in Laguna today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 91°, with a 0% chance of rain.

87°55°
91°57°
83°58°
86°57°
89°57°
95°60°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Mostly clear
Today 87°·Low 55°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
85°
Clear
Today 85°·Low 51°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
87°
Clear
Today 87°·Low 58°·Rain 0%
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Laguna weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Laguna weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Laguna swings 58°F across the year, from 98°F highs in July to 40°F lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 30 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
98°F average high
Coldest month
February
40°F average low
Wettest month
January
30 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
3 months
March, April and November
Residents
47,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Laguna and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Laguna hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Laguna 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
87° 55°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
91° 57°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
83° 58°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
86° 57°
±6°
Tue
Mostly clear
89° 57°
±7°
Wed
Mostly clear
95° 60°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
95° 65°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
87° 63°
±9°
Sat
Mostly clear
87° 62°
±14°
Sun
Mostly clear
87° 61°
±14°
Mon
Mostly clear
88° 61°
±11°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
90° 61°
±8°
Wed
Clear
86° 59°
±17°
Thu
Clear
83° 58°
±13°

Laguna, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 98°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 40°F), with roughly 30 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Laguna right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Laguna climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
56°
42°
Feb
58°
40°
Mar
60°
43°
Apr
71°
47°
May
79°
52°
Jun
88°
57°
Jul
98°
62°
Aug
94°
61°
Sep
88°
58°
Oct
81°
55°
Nov
64°
44°
Dec
58°
42°

Which forecast is most accurate in Laguna?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F97±1.0 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°85° to 87°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°90° to 91°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±5°81° to 86°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±6°83° to 89°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±7°86° to 93°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Laguna

today, local time
Sunrise
06:50
Sunset
19:08
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Laguna today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Laguna today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Laguna today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Laguna and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Laguna?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Laguna (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Laguna?
July is typically the warmest month in Laguna, with average highs around 98°F.
How cold does Laguna get?
The coldest month in Laguna is February, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Laguna get?
Laguna sees roughly 30 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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