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CheckWeather USLakeland
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Lakeland weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Lakeland's high today between 84° and 89°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 85°, with a 90% chance of rain.

87°73°
85°72°
86°72°
86°72°
87°73°
87°74°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Showers
Today 87°·Low 74°·Rain 33%
AmericanNOAA GFS
89°
Cloudy
Today 89°·Low 73°·Rain 33%
EuropeanECMWF
84°
Thunderstorm
Today 84°·Low 73°·Rain 92%
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Lakeland weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Lakeland weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Lakeland swings 39°F across the year, from 91°F highs in July to 52°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 51 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
91°F average high
Coldest month
January
52°F average low
Wettest month
August
51 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, November and December
Residents
104,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lakeland and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lakeland hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lakeland 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
87° 73°
±5°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
85° 72°
models agree
Sun
Showers
86° 72°
models agree
Mon
Showers
86° 72°
±6°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
87° 73°
±8°
Wed
Showers
87° 74°
±9°
Thu
Drizzle
87° 73°
±5°
Fri
Drizzle
87° 73°
±6°
Sat
Drizzle
87° 72°
±7°
Sun
Drizzle
85° 71°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
86° 72°
±8°
Tue
Showers
87° 71°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
82° 72°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
77° 72°
models agree

Lakeland, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 52°F), with roughly 51 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lakeland right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lakeland climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
71°
52°
Feb
76°
55°
Mar
81°
60°
Apr
85°
63°
May
90°
68°
Jun
90°
72°
Jul
91°
75°
Aug
90°
75°
Sep
88°
73°
Oct
82°
67°
Nov
77°
61°
Dec
71°
55°

Which forecast is most accurate in Lakeland?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F95±1.5 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
56
/100rank #2
69±3.1°F89±3.5 mph1855% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°84° to 89°±59%33% to 92% chance
Tomorrow±2°84° to 86°±63%27% to 90% chance
Sun±2°85° to 87°±21%71% to 92% chance
Mon±6°84° to 90°±19%81% to 100% chance
Tue±8°83° to 92°±19%73% to 92% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lakeland

today, local time
Sunrise
07:14
Sunset
19:28
Daylight
12h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lakeland today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lakeland today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lakeland today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lakeland and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lakeland?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lakeland (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 56. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lakeland?
July is typically the warmest month in Lakeland, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Lakeland get?
The coldest month in Lakeland is January, when overnight lows average about 52°F.
How much rain does Lakeland get?
Lakeland sees roughly 51 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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